Prime-Browsing
0x7d3320778860940e24bdb9fd1a93fd3365bec15f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$515.46
Total PnL
$-2.46
Realised
$-0.42
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 29.8¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.74
$12.76
- NO
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
35 shares @ 80.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.52
$0.73
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 56.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.39
$4.39
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.09
$6.09
- YES
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$15.10
$0.10
- NO
X banned in any European country by December 31?
17 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.94
$1.94
- NO
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
15 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.69
$1.69
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.34
$1.34
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
16 shares @ 74.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.09
$1.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?$11.37Aug 3, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?$12.19Aug 3, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$12.02Aug 3, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?$9.26Aug 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?$12.00Aug 3, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?$12.94Aug 3, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$0.06Aug 3, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$3.78Aug 3, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$0.72Aug 3, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?$12.24Aug 2, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?$12.00Aug 2, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?$11.91Aug 2, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.77Aug 2, 09:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$14.00Aug 1, 13:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be less than 0.1?$11.28Jul 31, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be less than 0.1?$9.99Jul 31, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.