Expensive-Technology
0x7d4160a431807fa4919f3c7cc60285fe78e72dfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$409.52
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-415.32
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
787 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$61.74
$-8.26
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
82 shares @ 49.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.98
$8.98
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
926 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$47.69
$-2.31
- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
349 shares @ 14.3¢·now 12.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.92
$-7.08
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
354 shares @ 11.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.16
$-5.84
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.33
$3.33
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$32.50
$-12.50
- YES
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$27.60
$7.60
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.50
$-4.50
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
1072 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.54
$-14.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$40.00Jun 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$20.80Jun 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$50.69Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$50.00Jun 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.41Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$31.17Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$31.27Jun 12, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$25.82Jun 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$151.40Jun 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$411.49Jun 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$353.08Jun 12, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$102.28Jun 12, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.86Jun 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.44Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 12, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$20.59Jun 12, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$5.25Jun 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$5.25Jun 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 12, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $46.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.