Common-Means
0x7d66502380f4a7dc5bd052b7379bfb3fd030ecf0
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$616.47
Total PnL
$3.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 69.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.82
$1.82
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
88 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$75.69
$5.69
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$71.27
$1.26
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
78 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$64.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
97 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$59.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
124 shares @ 48.5¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?
64 shares @ 70.8¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.99
$2.99
- NO
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
51 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.32
$5.32
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
51 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$39.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
52 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.48
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?$45.5310h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$4.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$35.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$60.9118h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$70.5618h ago
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$62.7422h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$40.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$65.002d ago
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$69.342d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$80.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$70.002d ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$57.962d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$79.124d ago
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$0.484d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$0.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$56.344d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$45.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$67.835d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$100.045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$55.315d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $42.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
