Stylish-Decryption
0x7d8450589986e8067fbe00db303ac2e14c022c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-797.17
Realised
$205.41
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1727 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$0.81
- YES
Will Beto O'Rourke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1727 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$0.81
- YES
Will Michael Swanson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1727 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$0.81
- YES
Will Emily Morgul be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1727 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$0.81
- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1216 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$0.66
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1216 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$0.66
- YES
Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
1032 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
1032 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
1032 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Nicholas Plumb be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?
960 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?$19.40Mar 14, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.71Mar 14, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$2.74Mar 14, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$0.02Mar 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$0.02Mar 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$18.90Mar 14, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$19.69Mar 14, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?$49.79Mar 14, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.68Mar 12, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$0.68Mar 12, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$4.03Mar 12, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?$4.03Mar 12, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$4.03Mar 12, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$4.03Mar 12, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$90.00Mar 12, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$10.00Mar 7, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$10.00Mar 7, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$66.69Mar 6, 02:50 UTC
- CONVERSIONTX-33 Democratic Primary Winner$16.00Mar 6, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$7.40Mar 6, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $17.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.