Somber-Grit
0x7d8f59234a56f661a59d3837791b3c128f6d4aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$751.37
Total PnL
$-243.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$126.87
$26.87
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
136 shares @ 73.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$113.54
$13.54
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
141 shares @ 70.8¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$106.13
$6.13
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
54 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$52.95
$12.95
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.17
$-0.83
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.34
$-2.66
- NO
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
66 shares @ 76.1¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$44.03
$-5.97
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
74 shares @ 41.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.83
$0.13
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.00
$9.00
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
73 shares @ 48.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$24.43
$-10.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 2?$39.77Jun 2, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$40.00Jun 2, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$17.08Jun 2, 04:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$51.06Jun 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.36Jun 1, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$10.62Jun 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$130.02Jun 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Jun 1, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$55.28Jun 1, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.35Jun 1, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.33Jun 1, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$65.79Jun 1, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$11.26Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$52.64Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$64.10May 31, 20:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $41.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".