Constant-Optimization
0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$251.00
Total PnL
$-407.36
Realised
$-17.55
Win rate
27%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
63 shares @ 71.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$61.14
$16.15
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
131 shares @ 22.8¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$40.59
$10.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?
68 shares @ 58.8¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.30
$0.17
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
36 shares @ 62.4¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.68
$2.37
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 57.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.80
$-3.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?
52 shares @ 44.2¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
20 shares @ 62.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$13.70
$1.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$-1.14
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$240.56Jun 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$8.40Jun 14, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$13.50Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$37.85Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$8.00Jun 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 13, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$1.50Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$1.50Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.40Jun 12, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$8.83Jun 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$1.41Jun 12, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.70Jun 12, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$21.36Jun 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?$4.00Jun 12, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?$0.29Jun 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$44.21Jun 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$134.40Jun 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$7.70Jun 12, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$19.50Jun 12, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$3.07Jun 12, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.