Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?
Probability
39¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 39¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5976.6h
Price movement
+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.
Biggest hourly move: +6.0pp at 2d ago (to 41¢).
Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
- 15:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 14:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 04:00 · -4.5pp → 35¢
- 02:00 · -4.5pp → 35¢
- 00:00 · -4.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 41¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+0.1pp
Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 11¢-1.0pp
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?
Politics · Vol $5.43
- 85¢+6.0pp
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
Politics · Vol $63.56
- 53¢-0.5pp
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $15.26
- 21¢+1.0pp
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 24¢+12.0pp
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
Politics · Vol $167.92
- 30¢-1.5pp
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 39¢+0.5pp
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $6.8M
- 4¢-6.6pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.9M
- 1¢-0.7pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.3M
- 20¢-41.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $969.4K
- 4¢-43.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $839.8K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Geopolitics · Vol $826.5K
Market Description
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.