Identical-Schooner
0x7de1485258106dcc8d200394c19994aa9b75e0de
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
14077 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
7051 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-185.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
6350 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-74.91
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
4762 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
3263 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-700.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
2156 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?
1710 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
1702 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?
1600 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
1495 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$22.28Jun 24, 16:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.92Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.79Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.90Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.76Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.62Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.50Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.93Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?$287.51Jun 22, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?$283.89Jun 22, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?$426.04Jun 22, 01:34 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.86Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 21?$52.06Jun 21, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?$478.72Jun 21, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 21?$1.77Jun 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 21?$227.18Jun 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10AM ET$228.96Jun 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10AM ET$206.66Jun 21, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10AM ET$21.30Jun 21, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $215.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.