Late-Mantua
0x7dff73963ab261ee6b673b1af34cef0a09fc1f35
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$12.2K
Total PnL
$-26.10
Realised
$-104.60
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$201.02
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
1500 shares @ 65.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$975.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1100 shares @ 68.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$929.50
$175.50
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
600 shares @ 90.2¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$576.60
$35.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 82.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.00
$48.00
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
500 shares @ 92.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$495.25
$34.75
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
500 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$490.00
$11.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
500 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$486.00
$16.60
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
300 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$297.30
$69.30
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
300 shares @ 82.5¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.70
$34.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$31.02Jun 13, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$12.40Jun 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$12.40Jun 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$130.19Jun 13, 15:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.73Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.88Jun 12, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.08Jun 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.35Jun 12, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$41.00Jun 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$34.00Jun 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$126.00Jun 12, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$287.40Jun 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$191.60Jun 12, 01:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.81Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$32.00Jun 11, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$79.00Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $112.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.