Whimsical-Cope
0x7e06dea43b3c9bf17f35bd8545c111a5046318bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$0.18
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
300 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$290.70
$-1.10
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
200 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.30
$-0.10
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.70
$0.70
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
150 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$149.77
$0.93
- NO
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 96.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$77.92
$-1.87
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
70 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.58
$0.48
- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
50 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.92
$0.52
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.92
$0.13
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
30 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.95
$0.16
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
10 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.77
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$250.26Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?$4.89Jul 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?$4.89Jul 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$136.83Jul 28, 11:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$30.03Jul 27, 01:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$29.01Jul 24, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$1.18Jul 23, 14:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.13Jul 21, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.72Jul 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$0.15Jul 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$0.10Jul 21, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $60.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.