Soft-Career
0x7e185d295e553a46c5ece6129a7ecb06db2f5c85
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$67.67
Total PnL
$-297.80
Realised
$30.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
102 shares @ 44.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.11
$-14.89
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.79
$4.79
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
89 shares @ 11.2¢·now 10.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.10
$-0.90
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
52 shares @ 29.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.98
$-8.02
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.65
$-6.35
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.21
$-2.79
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.82
$-19.18
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
129 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$10.00Jul 19, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$10.00Jul 13, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$31.25Jul 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$10.00Jul 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$10.00Jul 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$10.00Jul 8, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$33.08Jun 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$10.00Jun 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.00Jun 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$25.00Jun 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$20.00Jun 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$20.00Jun 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$89.30Jun 15, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$47.62Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$43.48Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$20.56Jun 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.36Jun 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.00Jun 12, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.