These-Eternity
0x7e41bb67cc382af87906beb5584022dd6ab94b0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$2.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
40 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$40.00
$14.40
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.90Apr 16, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$15.00Apr 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$18.27Apr 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$10.00Apr 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$2.00Apr 15, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$20.00Apr 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$25.60Apr 8, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$14.00Apr 8, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$30.00Apr 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$19.20Apr 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.20Mar 11, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$37.00Mar 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$33.89Nov 4, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?$5.30Nov 4, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$9.00Nov 4, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.