Each-Summary
0x7e5972bfc25819775ee5a9d4f191919375487b8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$96.3K
Total PnL
$10.7K
Realised
$17.8K
Win rate
58%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
15680 shares @ 47.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.5K
$5.0K
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
11415 shares @ 75.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$9.4K
$749.77
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
13376 shares @ 60.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.4K
$259.28
- YES
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
5578 shares @ 87.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$5.4K
$542.56
- NO
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic?
4693 shares @ 97.0¢·now 79.8¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$3.7K
$-802.75
- NO
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
10048 shares @ 34.5¢·now 37.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$3.7K
$276.67
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5925 shares @ 60.4¢·now 61.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$38.30
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
6242 shares @ 34.4¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.3K
$133.87
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
3704 shares @ 59.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.2K
$-41.01
- YES
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
4991 shares @ 41.1¢·now 39.8¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$2.0K
$-64.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs$52.56Aug 2, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?$5.89Aug 2, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs$39.00Aug 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Kirk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?$26.41Aug 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?$22.00Aug 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs$15.78Aug 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs$13.58Aug 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$83.71Aug 2, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlante FC win on 2026-08-01?$253.92Aug 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$2.29Aug 2, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs$42.00Aug 2, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?$22.61Aug 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?$37.08Aug 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?$8.14Aug 2, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?$22.61Aug 2, 06:55 UTC
- MERGEWill Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$100.00Aug 2, 06:45 UTC
- MERGEKBO: SSG Landers vs. Kiwoom Heroes$114.80Aug 2, 06:45 UTC
- MERGEValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha$200.00Aug 2, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-08-01?$0.00Aug 2, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?$0.00Aug 2, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 76 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
76 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $53.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.