Fixed-Plowman
0x7e763c9aa86bd28cb5c3c863af3540805c0ea51d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$26.49
Total PnL
$-6.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?
12 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$11.93
$0.00
- NO
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.99
$-0.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 27.5¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.12
$-0.94
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.96
$0.04
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.50
$-2.70
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
23 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$25.00May 31, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$387.00May 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.37May 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$273.34May 27, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.39May 27, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$11.93May 27, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$24.93May 27, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$15.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$26.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$30.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$45.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$50.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$70.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$89.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$123.00May 27, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.67Apr 24, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$44.95Apr 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$88.91Apr 24, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $46.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.