Tender-Series
0x7ee3651acc35c6fb7d15cf8aa1553458c8e7cbb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$973.76
Total PnL
$-11.8K
Realised
$-592.50
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
205079 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$717.78
$-787.30
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
7422 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$174.43
$19.11
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
7540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$37.70
$21.70
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
878 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$28.53
$-8.03
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
12065 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$6.03
$-22.98
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
10129 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$5.06
$-12.32
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
1231 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.69
$-5.45
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.53
$-0.19
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1750686 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
293735 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$5.95Jul 24, 06:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.20Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.10Jul 23, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$20.00Jul 23, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.00Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.10Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.10Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.40Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.10Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$10.00Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.00Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.10Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.10Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.00Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$7.90Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$3.50Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.10Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.00Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$3.30Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$6.50Jul 23, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.