Silent-Exile
0x7f13bbfa90a0bf98da95eddc15d0133fee05d602
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$347.97
Total PnL
$-400.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
385 shares @ 25.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.22
$-26.78
- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
77 shares @ 39.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.23
$19.23
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.50
$7.50
- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
68 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$31.70
$1.70
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$31.00
$11.00
- YES
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
58 shares @ 25.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$22.88
$7.88
- YES
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$20.31
$5.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.27
$-1.73
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
17 shares @ 57.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$16.28
$6.28
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
30 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.35
$-0.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMErling Haaland: 2+ shots AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots AND Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5$15.45Jul 12, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMAthens Open, Qualification: Qianhui Tang vs Elina Nepliy$22.73Jul 11, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthens Open, Qualification: Qianhui Tang vs Elina Nepliy$10.28Jul 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$30.00Jul 11, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.23Jul 11, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 2+ shots AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots AND Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5$9.99Jul 11, 15:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5 AND Exact Score: Any Other Score?$52.50Jul 10, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5 AND Exact Score: Any Other Score?$30.00Jul 10, 15:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$100.00Jul 9, 17:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$30.00Jul 7, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$19.99Jul 7, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$146.91Jul 7, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jul 7, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?$0.00Jul 7, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$62.53Jul 7, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$41.67Jul 7, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 01:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.