0x7f316841b7821832d5bd5f4e85950597d8698e36
0x7f316841b7821832d5bd5f4e85950597d8698e36
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$38.87
Total PnL
$-43.06
Realised
$-3.10
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
105 shares @ 7.8¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.43
$-1.72
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?
6 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.26
$5.38
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.93
$2.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 9?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
165 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.72
$-7.85
- NO
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-04-17?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$3.44
$1.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 17?
3 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$3.33
$0.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$2.49
$1.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 17?
72 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?$1.03Apr 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$0.93Apr 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.01Apr 17, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?$0.88Apr 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18?$1.25Apr 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?$0.76Apr 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 17?$1.52Apr 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 18?$1.37Apr 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 17?$1.21Apr 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.65Apr 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UC Sampdoria vs. AC Monza end in a draw?$1.38Apr 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FalleN retire by June 1? $0.27Apr 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 24?$0.97Apr 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-04-17?$2.23Apr 17, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 21?$1.51Apr 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 17?$2.72Apr 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?$2.37Apr 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 18?$2.49Apr 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19?$2.00Apr 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$3.74Apr 17, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".