Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+11.0pp
24h Vol
$661.10
Liquidity
$261.24
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 108.1h
- 11:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 108h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 28¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 28¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 28¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
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