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PoliticsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?

Probability

28¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+11.0pp

24h Vol

$661.10

Liquidity

$261.24

Probability (last 7 days)

+9.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 108.1h

    LOW
  • 11:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 108h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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