Arid-Coat
0x7f5984c3856a34c13e8987a80c87ddb472d17eef
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-500.55
Realised
$-111.68
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?
281 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$280.50
$8.12
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$208.34
$8.33
- NO
Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?
206 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$205.55
$5.55
- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 79.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$121.50
$-115.50
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$117.65
$17.65
- NO
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
114 shares @ 87.5¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$105.98
$5.98
- NO
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
107 shares @ 93.1¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$62.50
$52.50
- NO
Will "The Rip" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$6.32
$0.13
- NO
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$5.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.