0x7f6d3eb889c36ce8c70ba2606c642ab2d4ebf6f6
0x7f6d3eb889c36ce8c70ba2606c642ab2d4ebf6f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$730.93
Total PnL
$74.86
Realised
$19.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
138 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.34
$29.87
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
131 shares @ 76.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$126.30
$26.30
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
198 shares @ 50.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.91
$26.16
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
332 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.06
$1.31
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.16
$-0.84
- NO
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
87 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.26
$3.46
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
47 shares @ 84.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.00
$2.20
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
185 shares @ 21.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$40.67
$1.85
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 44.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.65
$6.13
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
84 shares @ 50.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.09
$-13.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?$24.64Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- MERGEUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$28.34Jun 25, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$44.99Jun 25, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$40.00Jun 25, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$22.55Jun 25, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?$40.00Jun 24, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$8.82Jun 24, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$44.99Jun 24, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$44.99Jun 24, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.84Jun 21, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.12Jun 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.60Jun 21, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.12Jun 21, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.17Jun 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.17Jun 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.28Jun 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.09Jun 21, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.62Jun 21, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.12Jun 21, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.