Chilly-Cobweb
0x7f871df165566674f224d07166ca5675c5fa134d
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$150.61
Total PnL
$-18.48
Realised
$11.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
54 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.86
$1.36
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
74 shares @ 68.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$37.13
$-12.87
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
55 shares @ 54.7¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
173 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.87
$-1.13
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 26.8¢·now 24.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.23
$-0.70
- NO
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
8 shares @ 64.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$10.10May 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.00May 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.01May 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$10.37May 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$10.08May 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$10.19May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$10.02May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$4.86May 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$5.08May 17, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.20May 17, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.02May 17, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.72May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.11May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.09May 17, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.01May 17, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.20May 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.03May 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.12May 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$14.28May 17, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.14May 17, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".