Those-Reality
0x7fae90116ca61ca3f7945664fe168c72e9c56853
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$266.21
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-153.47
Win rate
27%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
321 shares @ 28.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$213.47
$123.58
- NO
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
44 shares @ 98.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.42
$-1.01
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$6.80
$-0.94
- NO
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.87
$0.38
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.52
$-0.15
- YES
Celonis IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.16
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
934 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-280.20
- NO
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
643 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-353.65
- NO
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
335 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-40.20
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?
300 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?$0.90Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?$2.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$2.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$10.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$19.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?$20.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$28.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$48.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$201.00Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$10.74Apr 21, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?$17.63Apr 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?$5.84Feb 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?$10.65Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?$31.95Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$19.24Feb 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$41.37Feb 8, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$16.35Feb 8, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $87.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.