Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.9pp
24h Vol
$6.57
Liquidity
$13.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5236h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $13.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5236.3h
- 19:43SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5236h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.2pp over the last 24h, now 24¢.
Biggest hourly move: -9.6pp at 2d ago (to 18¢).
Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
- 13:00 · +3.4pp → 24¢
- 23:00 · -4.3pp → 21¢
- 21:00 · -5.0pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -3.1pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -5.8pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -5.7pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -8.3pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -6.7pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -9.6pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · -5.8pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · -5.2pp → 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.