Third-Reference
0x8035af529f24226b1e21d1bde5b25243e980f36d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$347.69
Total PnL
$-1.23
Realised
$38.80
Win rate
79%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
144 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$143.61
$2.04
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
37 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$36.73
$2.53
- NO
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
33 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$32.63
$1.30
- YES
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
31 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$30.76
$0.72
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
24 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$23.56
$1.17
- NO
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?
15 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$15.32
$1.07
- NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$12.30
$2.46
- NO
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
9 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$9.17
$0.54
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.26
$0.94
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.30
$2.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?$0.00Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.00Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$0.00Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?$9.47Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$16.44Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$17.01Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$18.05Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$20.77Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$22.74Apr 13, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $30.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.