Substantial-Optimal
0x80879572cce652f71a193a76f65b9f82e21147ef
active
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.67
Total PnL
$-1.58
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
7 shares @ 18.3¢·now 24.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$0.40
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
13 shares @ 9.5¢·now 9.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.13
$-0.03
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
7 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$-0.11
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.69
$-0.51
- UNDER
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5
116 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)$0.573h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)$1.203h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)$0.153h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)$1.204h ago
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5$2.034h ago
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5$1.204h ago
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays$0.534h ago
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Houston Astros$0.414h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?$0.624h ago
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.204h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Houston Astros (-1.5)$0.194h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Astros (-1.5)$1.204h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?$1.204h ago
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5$1.914h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$0.744h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$0.444h ago
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5$1.204h ago
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.404h ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Houston Astros$1.204h ago
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5$0.224h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.