Heartfelt-Twilight
0x80ad47afa13a26f589bbe23e340d0f72b2a27ef8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$45.16
Total PnL
$-26.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 53.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.07
$17.07
- YES
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.56
$4.56
- YES
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
24 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
21 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$3.00Apr 15, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$1.00Apr 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$2.00Apr 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$1.00Apr 12, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.09Mar 26, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.01Mar 26, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Mar 26, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Mar 26, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$10.20Mar 26, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$5.00Mar 22, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 22, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 22, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 22, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.