SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Probability

18¢

+1.6pp

24h

+2.1pp

24h Vol

$265.10

Liquidity

$2.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.3pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:41

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 18¢; +1.6pp in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 848h with open resolution ambiguity.
3
Wide spread — 4.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 848.3h
LOW
15:41Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 848h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
03:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 3.1pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.1pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
4d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same event2026 IPL Champion

Category · Sports

Market Description

The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (4.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket