Cavernous-Alligator
0x80c2033226c78fa6af627b3de21293304e02c3d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-732.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
765 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$757.73
$-0.38
- NO
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
546 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$538.63
$0.27
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
68 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$67.59
$0.07
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10012 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.02
$-5.01
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 97.6¢·now 31.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.92
$-14.55
- RANGERS
Jets vs. Rangers
1308 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-693.24
- AVALANCHE
Avalanche vs. Jets
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.52May 14, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.54May 14, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.00May 14, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.07May 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.48May 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.48May 14, 14:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$67.54May 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$17.08May 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$758.39May 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$538.66May 13, 08:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07May 10, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $232.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".