Stimulating-Mailing
0x80cf0749b26556cb2ce5bad513388309865d614d
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-95.27
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$887.50
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$711.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$94.13
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 21.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$538.75
$-711.25
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$362.50
$-887.50
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
180 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$164.70
$0.50
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$51.50
$1.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
8914 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-713.16
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.5K43m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?$71.202h ago
- SPLIT2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$2.5K3h ago
- SPLIT2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$100.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?$93.003h ago
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.2K3h ago
- MERGEWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$400.003h ago
- REDEEMFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$5.5K3h ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$958.0098d ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$497.4998d ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$566.0798d ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$95.0198d ago
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$624.03100d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$5.59101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.40101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$14.36101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$14.05101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$400.00101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$64.50101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$124.81101d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $84.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 101d ago
- Last active
- 43m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".