Damp-Butane
0x814188905d3493cde34b96c54fb8a272a95f8722
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.01
Total PnL
$-44.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
3 shares @ 95.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 14?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?
8083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-24.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13?$5.10Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13?$5.10Jun 13, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?$5.10Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?$5.10Jun 9, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$5.10Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$5.10Jun 4, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$5.10Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$5.10Jun 2, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?$5.20Jun 1, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?$5.20May 31, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$5.00May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$4.99May 28, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?$6.00May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?$5.99May 25, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?$5.30May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?$5.30May 24, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$5.00May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$5.00May 23, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$5.00May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$4.98May 22, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 04:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.