Guilty-Bait
0x81ae50ba6266973c7bdc110558fe841a706a4440
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$255.16
Total PnL
$-594.13
Realised
$1.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?
159 shares @ 71.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$115.39
$2.39
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
125 shares @ 40.8¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$54.97
$3.97
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?
78 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$43.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-02?
71 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$39.35
$0.35
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
88 shares @ 5.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.62
$-2.85
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
182 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
89 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-48.32
- YES
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
86 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.35
- OVER
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
75 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-02?$39.533h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?$113.983h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?$45.573h ago
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$53.174h ago
- REDEEMFK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$102.944h ago
- REDEEMClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$57.692d ago
- REDEEMClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5$101.412d ago
- TRADEBUYFK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$70.672d ago
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5$55.452d ago
- REDEEMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score$78.573d ago
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5$72.633d ago
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$30.433d ago
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score$55.494d ago
- REDEEMCagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score$55.814d ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score$30.005d ago
- TRADEBUYAC Milan vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score$49.006d ago
- REDEEMWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-25?$41.996d ago
- REDEEMClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5$44.586d ago
- REDEEMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?$48.606d ago
- REDEEMGetafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5$73.156d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $48.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".