Optimistic-Bath
0x81ba472566d95b4b730d1b4d874d0d8d59856628
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$31.41
Total PnL
$-8.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- BOSTON RED SOX
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
4 shares @ 44.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- UNDER
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5
2 shares @ 48.4¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5$1.02Jun 13, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 13, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.03Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMLibema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska$2.78Jun 12, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMHSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic$2.08Jun 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)$1.02Jun 12, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.02Jun 12, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.02Jun 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLibema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra$1.03Jun 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLibema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard$1.03Jun 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic$1.02Jun 12, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLibema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska$1.02Jun 12, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.02Jun 12, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$1.02Jun 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$2.33Jun 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03Jun 11, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.