Runny-Swing
0x81bc8f470d0a4281c1246fe2c10bf64088adfcfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$867.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$827.50
$7.50
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$567.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$457.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$427.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 7.6¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$407.50
$27.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$257.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$167.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHenan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5$47.50May 15, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHenan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5$2.50May 15, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHenan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5$250.00May 15, 11:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.46May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$457.16May 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$267.39May 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.08May 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$390.53May 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$580.03May 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$840.57May 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$917.04May 12, 04:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.36May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$425.27May 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.73May 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$95.00May 11, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.28May 10, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $105.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".