Major-Armchair
0x820370a85c6de71a7555938db908e3b48ec30ac9
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$5.20
Total PnL
$1.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.87
$0.79
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$0.75
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.57
$0.49
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.46
$0.38
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.43
$0.35
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.41
$0.33
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.26
$0.17
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.17
$0.09
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.11
$0.03
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.10
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.2KMay 15, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 15, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 15, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$19.98May 15, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$101.00May 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$100.00May 15, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$102.00May 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$101.00May 15, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$101.00May 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$105.00May 15, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$199.80May 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$50.66May 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.00May 15, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.6KMay 15, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.6KMay 15, 03:45 UTC
- CONVERSION2026 FIFA World Cup Winner $5.01May 15, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00May 15, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.05May 15, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Nov 23, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130K in July?$8.21Nov 23, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $317.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".