Obedient-Trick
0x823156bae0cc3ebec847ad65b39865231314652b
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-32.99
Realised
$24.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
3030 shares @ 47.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.3K
$-120.76
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1070 shares @ 15.5¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.60
$26.81
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
400 shares @ 30.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1195 shares @ 2.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.72
$46.84
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
298 shares @ 18.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$69.58
$15.94
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
947 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.11
$14.68
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
224 shares @ 15.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$41.35
$7.82
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?
50 shares @ 7.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.17
$-1.53
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
17 shares @ 6.6¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.78
$0.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00May 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$8.62May 19, 13:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.70May 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.63May 18, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.89May 18, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?$3.84May 18, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$383.97May 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$383.97May 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$3.53May 18, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$15.00May 18, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$15.00May 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$204.24May 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$479.96May 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$19.72May 18, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.38May 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.60May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.67May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$0.87May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.55May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.20May 17, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $47.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".