Quick-Witted-Certificate
0x823ddce5bc6a545529d2669977b890a6cedc2db3
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-24.55
Realised
$41.33
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
660 shares @ 86.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$544.50
$-28.90
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
330 shares @ 88.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$305.25
$13.35
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 68.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.01
$-4.10
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 77.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$35.75
$-2.75
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.50
$-13.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
160 shares @ 45.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.80
$-39.45
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
24 shares @ 56.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.12
$9.92
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$4.40
- NO
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
20 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.88
$0.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$5.226h ago
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.80 in April?$5.246h ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$8.307h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$249.289h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$1.0010h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$200.0012h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.8712h ago
- REWARD$1.7813h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$1.4416h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$1.0017h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$1.4217h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$4.0022h ago
- TRADESELLMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$1.841d ago
- TRADEBUYMauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere$470.001d ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.791d ago
- REWARD$3.422d ago
- REDEEMWill Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) win the most gubernatorial elections in Bolivia in 2026?$2.112d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$28.002d ago
- TRADESELLMadrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$260.002d ago
- TRADEBUYRevolut IPO before 2027?$9.202d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $107.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".