Creepy-Honoree
0x8286b141d4923c87d0264dd5137cade55098d22a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$274.66
Total PnL
$-405.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
300 shares @ 34.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$133.50
$31.50
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
869 shares @ 27.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.66
$-112.97
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
300 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.50
$-31.50
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
515 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
455 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
250 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-67.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$104.69May 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$52.69May 4, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$52.44Apr 25, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.00Apr 25, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$15.06Apr 25, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$25.00Mar 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$418.74Mar 1, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$96.60Feb 19, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$234.63Jan 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$279.77Jan 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$100.00Jan 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Jan 14, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$255.00Jan 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$408.01Jan 7, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Jan 5, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$59.52Jan 5, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$25.00Jun 23, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$49.41Jun 22, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$25.00Jun 17, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$50.00Jun 14, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $137.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".