Minor-Bathhouse
0x829d1afd9625c3ee13d92abea196373f92dcdffd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$79.52
Total PnL
$-594.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
123 shares @ 24.4¢·now 60.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.08
$44.08
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$-25.89
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
614 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-201.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
427 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
358 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-97.09
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
317 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-98.21
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
281 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$13.00May 14, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.20May 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$51.42May 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$30.91May 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$30.97May 13, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$113.67Apr 24, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$25.61Apr 23, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$75.00Apr 22, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$100.00Apr 22, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$50.00Apr 22, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$50.00Apr 22, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$100.00Apr 22, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$200.00Apr 22, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$1.00Apr 22, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.00Apr 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $38.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.