Deserted-Cyclone
0x82a5e1f33cdffa2c6f3108dee7081c4bd24f09db
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$28.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1652 shares @ 58.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$151.92
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
347 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$292.82
$5.20
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
238 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$198.81
$-1.19
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
366 shares @ 54.6¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.31
$-20.69
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.41
$2.41
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
282 shares @ 26.6¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$70.59
$-4.41
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
321 shares @ 18.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
299 shares @ 16.7¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$47.16
$-2.84
- YES
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$20.45
$0.45
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
230 shares @ 8.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.56
$-6.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$20.00Jun 2, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 2, 07:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$200.00Jun 1, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$9.38Jun 1, 17:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$10.00May 31, 19:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$0.00May 30, 08:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.00May 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.05May 28, 15:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.05May 27, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$5.14May 27, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$3.00May 26, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $34.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".