Colossal-Brushing
0x82c776092e47df5079d0c0a0251c8d3212293353
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$555.56
Total PnL
$-94.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
556 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$555.56
$55.56
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
490 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $164 in May?$595.24Jun 26, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?$596.95Jun 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $164 in May?$503.20May 23, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?$503.25May 19, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by April 30?$469.23May 3, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?$514.22May 3, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?$527.62May 3, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of April 27 2026?$528.25May 3, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?$557.17May 3, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of April 27 2026?$581.82May 3, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of April 27 2026?$502.81Apr 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of April 27 2026?$501.07Apr 30, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?$501.05Apr 30, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$1.0KApr 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by April 30?$444.00Apr 26, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$1000.00Apr 26, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?$671.57Apr 26, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$100.00Apr 17, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?$627.78Apr 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?$500.00Apr 16, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $386.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.