Paltry-Paperwork
0x82ce70852ca2c127047fa0800a09081b43d8f38a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$268.81
Total PnL
$27.75
Realised
$30.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
344 shares @ 26.7¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.30
$42.52
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
105 shares @ 43.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$62.48
$16.98
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 51.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.13
$8.78
- YES
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
320 shares @ 11.5¢·now 8.1¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$25.76
$-11.14
- YES
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.95
$-2.85
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
27 shares @ 27.4¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.98
$-4.41
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
348 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-3.59
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
46 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
- YES
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
31 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.56
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-05-15?$20.00May 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$8.50May 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$4.34May 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$6.66May 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$17.40May 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-05-15?$10.00May 15, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$15.00May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$7.01May 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSouthampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$3.75May 12, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$6.12May 12, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSouthampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$0.22May 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSouthampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$9.79May 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$7.16May 12, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-10.5)$14.00May 12, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-10.5)$6.16May 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$3.69May 11, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$44.99May 11, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$4.50May 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$7.99May 10, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$5.75May 10, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".