Strict-Defeat
0x82d206a6618951825e06d4562458ef8fa5fa6441
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$42.39
Total PnL
$-278.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
22 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$21.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?
21 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$20.81
$0.81
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
535 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
250 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- CHARLOTTE 49ERS
North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ers
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
157 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
144 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Dec 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.04Dec 22, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$15.00Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$25.40Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$40.80Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$62.31Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released in 2025?$80.81Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$82.23Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$153.22Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$103.64Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token in 2025?$212.33Dec 22, 16:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 22, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 21, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 20, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 19, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 18, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 17, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 16, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 15, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 14, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $44.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".