Feisty-Waterbed
0x82d9936e619d6847e48d0509278b1277554762be
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$273.56
Total PnL
$-0.30
Realised
$-0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?
108 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$108.32
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on June 9?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$90.00
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or below on May 27?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$72.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.16
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on June 9?$89.91Jun 8, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?$108.02May 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or below on May 27?$72.00May 26, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 1?$114.11Apr 1, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?$257.59Apr 1, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 1?$114.00Mar 31, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 22?$107.11Mar 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 22?$107.00Mar 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?$257.00Mar 19, 18:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$51.05Mar 18, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$655.71Mar 18, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Mar 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 17, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$656.38Mar 16, 12:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 16, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$326.70Mar 16, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 15, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$327.03Mar 14, 18:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Mar 14, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $363.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.