Long-Nationality
0x82edc43f83880428b3d7164fc6c455cfbe7225a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$267.40
Total PnL
$191.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$0.00Jul 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$36.00Jul 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$30.00Jul 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$20.00Jul 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$0.00Jul 12, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 11, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$0.91Jul 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$8.27Jul 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$36.00Jul 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$15.00Jul 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$27.73Jul 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$16.00Jul 10, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?$0.00Jul 8, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?$0.00Jul 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?$20.00Jul 8, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?$20.00Jul 8, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$17.00Jul 4, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$16.00Jul 4, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?$40.00Jul 3, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $35.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.