Practical-Jute
0x82f21b1514d9c20f010a0d3af72f1e4a355a91ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$315.47
Total PnL
$-85.42
Realised
$-5.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$101.77
$1.77
- NO
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
67 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$66.70
$0.70
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.14
$-0.25
- YES
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$42.24
$0.50
- NO
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
51 shares @ 66.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$29.18
$-4.31
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
25 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.45
$1.45
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
28 shares @ 16.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.82
$-0.74
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?
51 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.16
$-0.48
- NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
51 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$4.68Jun 21, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?$46.35Jun 20, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$3.10Jun 20, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.42Jun 20, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$33.84Jun 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?$43.65Jun 19, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$2.44Jun 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$0.01Jun 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$3.00Jun 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?$2.71Jun 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia?$1.43Jun 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5$5.28Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5$5.73Jun 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama?$6.86Jun 18, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5$37.50Jun 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5$29.44Jun 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia?$1.67Jun 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$43.20Jun 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5$2.62Jun 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5$2.78Jun 17, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $14.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.