Forthright-Bail
0x83172949394ed65300bc411574fb8a3ba78ab692
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$6.50
Total PnL
$-22.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 15, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05May 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$1.00Apr 7, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?$0.00Apr 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?$2.00Mar 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Mar 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$1.00Mar 2, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$10.25Feb 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.25Feb 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$1.00Feb 27, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$0.00Feb 9, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Feb 5, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Feb 5, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Feb 5, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.