Double-Exaggeration
0x8328acb4235815d23cec0cdc62faa90584f5feb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$25.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
1062 shares @ 94.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.0K
$27.40
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
498 shares @ 60.2¢·now 63.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$315.21
$15.21
- NO
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$169.44
$69.44
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
187 shares @ 53.6¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$150.28
$50.28
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
299 shares @ 67.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$107.46
$-92.54
- NO
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
156 shares @ 70.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.96
$-3.04
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$103.26
$3.26
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$100.91
$0.91
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$100.60
$0.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$100.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$100.57Jun 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$100.91Jun 13, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$100.03Jun 13, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$108.70Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$3.11Jun 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$20.36Jun 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$100.90Jun 11, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?$5.12Jun 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$203.45Jun 11, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?$40.54Jun 11, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Vitinha vs. Pedri$40.54Jun 11, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez$101.83Jun 11, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$50.48Jun 11, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.41Jun 11, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.77Jun 11, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.57Jun 11, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.58Jun 11, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $36.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.