Disastrous-Sleet
0x8364624bfea5eff8e82f783955256688e989857c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$133.70
Total PnL
$-96.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$20.13
$0.13
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.95
$-2.05
- NO
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$17.84
$-2.16
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.17
$1.17
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.82
$-1.18
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.36
$-1.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$10.22Jun 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$10.11Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.12Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$20.83Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$10.23Jun 12, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$27.03Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.16Jun 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$10.14Jun 12, 04:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$14.49Jun 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$10.21Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$10.07Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.4 released by July 31?$10.12Jun 9, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$30.30Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$10.09Jun 8, 14:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $13.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.