Costly-Birch
0x83663086125ebb9c9a15a2796b66e4d26c2824fe
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$54.08
Total PnL
$-11.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.68
$0.35
- NO
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.1¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$9.42
$-0.20
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$8.87
$-0.85
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
11 shares @ 93.4¢·now 71.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$8.14
$-2.47
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.85
$-1.13
- YES
Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 80.8¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$4.87
$-0.79
- NO
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.26
$-6.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$6.031h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$8.826h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$8.331d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$6.171d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$5.562d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$6.052d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$9.252d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$6.122d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$5.643d ago
- TRADESELLGPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?$8.943d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$8.433d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$6.093d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$5.604d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$5.604d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$3.534d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$5.984d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$4.444d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?$8.364d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$9.174d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$5.624d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.