Costly-Birch
0x83663086125ebb9c9a15a2796b66e4d26c2824fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$26.87
Total PnL
$-5.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$9.83
$0.11
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.94
$-1.04
- NO
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.67
$-4.88
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$3.43
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-22.5)$2.35Jun 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-14.5)$4.13Jun 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-25.5)$5.25Jun 14, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-16.5)$5.38Jun 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-22.5)$2.18Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-14.5)$3.81Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$5.37Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$5.06Jun 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-25.5)$5.06Jun 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026? $3.94Jun 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$11.35Jun 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-16.5)$5.04Jun 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$3.82Jun 13, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026? $3.71Jun 12, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.00Jun 12, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.59Jun 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$3.64Jun 11, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$3.52Jun 11, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-20.5)$4.85Jun 11, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$4.89Jun 11, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.