Bare-Battalion
0x83868485d5a9695bf9ea0785293175255d4bc2f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$11.72
Total PnL
$-155.39
Realised
$47.55
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
92 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$10.58
$-35.42
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
237 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.59
$-1.26
- NO
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
1 shares @ 26.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.55
$0.20
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.20
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
177 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.71
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
171 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-45.47
- YES
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.16
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?
40 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" in May?$1.25Jun 10, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?$1.95Jun 10, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00May 22, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00May 22, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?$0.00May 22, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?$1.23May 22, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Honestly" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.25May 21, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Right" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$11.25May 21, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$11.25May 21, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Patreon" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$19.58May 21, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$26.07May 21, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$3.60May 20, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$4.80May 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$1.10May 19, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$7.82May 19, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.73May 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.61May 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.72May 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$30.82May 19, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$4.45May 19, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.